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43Z-43H-41 and 43Z-32H-41

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 16 September 2015, at 1:26 a.m.

In Response To: OTB & RO (John O'Hagan)

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 158
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 164
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-CA--dD---c-e-a--AA:0:0:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
43Z-43H-41 [V B12 U16 $101] "<=5**1

1.Rollout1Bar/21* 24/23eq: +0.232
Player:
Opponent:
54.84% (G:17.14% B:1.09%)
45.16% (G:11.61% B:0.52%)
Conf.: � 0.008 (+0.223...+0.240) - [97.7%]
Duration: 1 hour 52 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/21* 9/8eq: +0.219 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:
54.78% (G:16.52% B:0.98%)
45.22% (G:11.61% B:0.47%)
Conf.: � 0.008 (+0.211...+0.227) - [2.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 47 minutes
3.Rollout1Bar/21* 21/20eq: +0.215 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:
54.59% (G:16.65% B:1.03%)
45.41% (G:11.78% B:0.51%)
Conf.: � 0.009 (+0.207...+0.224) - [0.3%]
Duration: 1 hour 54 minutes
4.Rollout2Bar/21* 6/5eq: +0.131 (-0.101)
Player:
Opponent:
53.10% (G:15.71% B:0.87%)
46.90% (G:13.37% B:0.76%)
Conf.: � 0.018 (+0.112...+0.149) - [0.0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 54 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

John's rollout of 43Z-63H-41 is shown above.

By moving one of Brown's 10pt spares to his 10pt, we get 43Z-32H-41, where a different best play emerges (see the first rollout below).

Instead, if it is Brown's 8pt spare that is moved to his 10pt, we get 43Z-43H-41, and the result is a tie (see the second rollout below).

Nack

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 162
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 164
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-CA--dD-a-c-d-a--AA:0:0:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
43Z-32H-41 [U V13 B24] "<=20*5

1.Rollout1Bar/21* 21/20eq: +0.202
Player:
Opponent:
53.75% (G:18.05% B:1.32%)
46.25% (G:11.80% B:0.54%)
Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+0.197...+0.207) - [100.0%]
Duration: 19 hours 18 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/21* 24/23eq: +0.188 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
53.40% (G:18.13% B:1.37%)
46.60% (G:12.05% B:0.56%)
Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+0.184...+0.193) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18 hours 49 minutes
3.Rollout2Bar/21* 9/8eq: +0.177 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
53.20% (G:17.68% B:1.32%)
46.80% (G:12.07% B:0.50%)
Conf.: กำ 0.009 (+0.168...+0.186) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 50 minutes
 
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 160
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 164
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-CA--dD-a-b-e-a--AA:0:0:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
43Z-43H-41 [U=V B25] "<=46*5

1.Rollout1Bar/21* 21/20eq: +0.239
Player:
Opponent:
54.77% (G:18.20% B:1.35%)
45.23% (G:11.92% B:0.53%)
Conf.: กำ 0.003 (+0.236...+0.242) - [55.3%]
Duration: 1 day 11 hours 25 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/21* 24/23eq: +0.239 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:
54.68% (G:18.58% B:1.45%)
45.32% (G:11.90% B:0.54%)
Conf.: กำ 0.003 (+0.236...+0.242) - [44.7%]
Duration: 1 day 10 hours 08 minutes
3.Rollout2Bar/21* 9/8eq: +0.215 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
54.18% (G:18.03% B:1.37%)
45.82% (G:11.95% B:0.48%)
Conf.: กำ 0.009 (+0.205...+0.224) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 18 minutes
 
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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