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Two variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 17 September 2015, at 6:26 p.m.

In Response To: *Rollout* (Chase)

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
1 point match
pip: 124
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-a--BbCBCB--cB--Abbc-b----:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:1:10
Original Position

1.Rollout116/10 6/1* eq: +0.319
Player:
Opponent:
65.95% (G:24.33% B:0.85%)
34.05% (G:7.89% B:0.73%)
Conf.: � 0.005 (+0.314...+0.324) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 33 seconds
2.Rollout17/1* 6/1eq: +0.275 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:
63.74% (G:26.83% B:0.68%)
36.26% (G:8.01% B:0.70%)
Conf.: � 0.005 (+0.270...+0.280) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 11 seconds
3.Rollout19/3 8/3eq: +0.270 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:
63.50% (G:29.11% B:1.96%)
36.50% (G:9.10% B:0.69%)
Conf.: � 0.005 (+0.264...+0.275) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 44 seconds
4.Rollout113/8 13/7eq: +0.258 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:
62.92% (G:24.19% B:1.42%)
37.08% (G:7.66% B:0.65%)
Conf.: � 0.005 (+0.253...+0.264) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 49 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Chase's rollout of the original position is shown above.

Below are (rollouts of) two variants. In the second one, White encounters a phalanx of plausible candidates.

Nack

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 153
1 point match
pip: 124
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-a--BbCBCB--cB--Abbc----b-:0:0:1:56:0:0:0:1:10
Variant 1

1.Rollout113/8 13/7eq: +0.456
Player:
Opponent:
72.80% (G:22.82% B:1.68%)
27.20% (G:4.18% B:0.10%)
Conf.: กำ 0.002 (+0.454...+0.458) - [99.9%]
Duration: 1 hour 46 minutes
2.Rollout116/10 6/1* eq: +0.451 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
72.53% (G:20.33% B:1.06%)
27.47% (G:5.53% B:0.08%)
Conf.: กำ 0.002 (+0.448...+0.453) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 02 minutes
3.Rollout19/3 8/3eq: +0.450 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
72.52% (G:27.13% B:2.79%)
27.48% (G:5.66% B:0.15%)
Conf.: กำ 0.002 (+0.448...+0.453) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 43 minutes
4.Rollout17/1* 6/1eq: +0.430 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:
71.51% (G:25.13% B:0.71%)
28.49% (G:5.67% B:0.18%)
Conf.: กำ 0.002 (+0.428...+0.432) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 41 minutes
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 169
1 point match
pip: 124
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-aa-BbCBCB--bB--Abbc-b----:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:1:10
Variant 2

1.Rollout19/3 8/3eq: +0.265
Player:
Opponent:
63.25% (G:32.41% B:4.52%)
36.75% (G:6.59% B:0.71%)
Conf.: กำ 0.003 (+0.262...+0.268) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 11 minutes
2.Rollout113/8 13/7eq: +0.250 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:
62.49% (G:28.34% B:3.42%)
37.51% (G:6.19% B:0.63%)
Conf.: กำ 0.003 (+0.247...+0.253) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 12 minutes
3.Rollout116/10 6/1* eq: +0.246 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:
62.29% (G:26.98% B:2.31%)
37.71% (G:7.53% B:0.98%)
Conf.: กำ 0.003 (+0.243...+0.249) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 25 minutes
4.Rollout216/11 8/2* eq: +0.209 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:
60.44% (G:27.61% B:3.30%)
39.56% (G:9.05% B:1.44%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.203...+0.215) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 03 seconds
5.Rollout216/10 13/8eq: +0.206 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:
60.31% (G:25.86% B:2.97%)
39.69% (G:7.74% B:0.98%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.200...+0.213) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 43 seconds
6.Rollout216/11 13/7eq: +0.204 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:
60.22% (G:25.99% B:2.79%)
39.78% (G:7.65% B:0.73%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.199...+0.210) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 59 seconds
7.Rollout216/10 8/3eq: +0.192 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:
59.59% (G:26.17% B:3.03%)
40.41% (G:9.74% B:1.18%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.186...+0.197) - [0.0%]
Duration: 30 minutes 49 seconds
8.Rollout28/2* 6/1* eq: +0.189 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:
59.47% (G:27.40% B:1.92%)
40.53% (G:11.01% B:1.80%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.183...+0.195) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 31 seconds
9.Rollout28/2* 7/2eq: +0.176 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:
58.79% (G:31.90% B:4.25%)
41.21% (G:8.50% B:0.75%)
Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+0.170...+0.181) - [0.0%]
Duration: 28 minutes 32 seconds
10.Rollout27/1* 6/1eq: +0.173 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:
58.64% (G:31.77% B:1.57%)
41.36% (G:9.15% B:0.88%)
Conf.: กำ 0.005 (+0.167...+0.178) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 42 seconds
11.Rollout213/7 6/1* eq: +0.168 (-0.097)
Player:
Opponent:
58.42% (G:27.55% B:2.18%)
41.58% (G:8.83% B:1.05%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (+0.162...+0.175) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 26 seconds
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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