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OLM 20150918A The Prime Factors – Rollout for Money

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Wednesday, 23 September 2015, at 4:08 a.m.

In Response To: OLM 20150918A The Prime Factors (Jason Lee)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 126
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 157
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aB-DAC---bB-b-b-dbbB-A-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 70.691% (G:22.179% B:1.089%) 70.476% (G:23.496% B:1.145%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 29.309% (G:4.998% B:0.196%) 29.524% (G:5.353% B:0.215%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.5946 +1.2005
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.8501 (-0.1194)±0.0057 (+0.8444..+0.8557)
Double/Take:+0.9695±0.0088 (+0.9606..+0.9783)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.0305)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76065197
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 36 minutes 01 second

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2015-Sep-22
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.199.2658
OLM 20150918A The Prime Factors - Rollout for Money.xgp

This is a small take for money. Although I did not make a rollout, at-score it is an easy pass. According to XGR++, taking surrenders around 150 millipoints of equity.

Mike

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