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Four Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 25 November 2015, at 7:30 p.m.

In Response To: OTB and RO (neilkaz)





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 106
1 point match
pip: 96
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=a-BBCCB-----b----AAbccAbb-:0:0:-1:61:0:0:0:1:10

Original Position


1.Rollout1Bar/18eq: +0.2589
Player:
Opponent:		62.95% (G:13.13% B:0.13%)
37.05% (G:5.73% B:0.13%)		Conf.: �0.0020 (+0.2569...+0.2609) - [100.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 33 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/24 13/7* eq: +0.2376 (-0.0214)
Player:
Opponent:		61.88% (G:33.81% B:0.62%)
38.12% (G:9.63% B:0.83%)		Conf.: �0.0019 (+0.2357...+0.2395) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 04 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 78623594
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Above is a rollout of the original position (shown to the fourth decimal place, copied from Neil's post).

The four variants below contrast the original.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 106
1 point match
pip: 98
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBaBCCaa----B-----bccbb-A:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:1:10

Variant 1
Compared to the original, Blue is adjusted 4/6


1.Rollout1Bar/24 13/7* eq: +0.268
Player:
Opponent:		63.41% (G:32.38% B:0.76%)
36.59% (G:8.18% B:0.63%)		Conf.: กำ 0.002 (+0.266...+0.270) - [100.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/18eq: +0.262 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		63.10% (G:11.64% B:0.12%)
36.90% (G:4.71% B:0.23%)		Conf.: กำ 0.002 (+0.260...+0.264) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38 minutes 42 seconds
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 106
1 point match
pip: 98
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBaCCBaa-----B----bccbb-A:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:1:10

Variant 2
Blue has his 14pt instead of 13pt


1.Rollout1Bar/24 14/8* eq: +0.221
Player:
Opponent:		61.04% (G:31.12% B:0.76%)
38.96% (G:10.89% B:1.14%)		Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.217...+0.224) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 50 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/18eq: +0.154 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		57.71% (G:9.39% B:0.13%)
42.29% (G:7.18% B:0.39%)		Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.151...+0.158) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 10 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 105
1 point match
pip: 96
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBaCCBa-a---B-----bccbb-A:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:1:10

Variant 3
Compared to the original, White is adjusted 17/16


1.Rollout1Bar/24 13/7* eq: +0.250
Player:
Opponent:		62.49% (G:29.20% B:0.59%)
37.51% (G:7.08% B:0.60%)		Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.246...+0.253) - [100.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 34 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/18eq: +0.172 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:		58.58% (G:9.50% B:0.05%)
41.42% (G:5.82% B:0.14%)		Conf.: กำ 0.003 (+0.169...+0.175) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 37 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 116
1 point match
pip: 96
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBaCCBaa----B----bbccb--A:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:1:10

Variant 4
Roll is 62, White has her 2pt instead of 7pt


1.Rollout1Bar/23 13/7* eq: +0.236
Player:
Opponent:		61.80% (G:38.09% B:0.93%)
38.20% (G:7.78% B:0.43%)		Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.232...+0.240) - [100.0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/17eq: +0.206 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:		60.32% (G:15.52% B:0.13%)
39.68% (G:6.21% B:0.36%)		Conf.: กำ 0.004 (+0.202...+0.210) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 52 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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