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Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 16 December 2015, at 6:26 p.m.

In Response To: Position 2 from a backgame Rollout (Konstantin)

Proceeding from Konstantin's Backgame Position 1, it appears that the sequence went 41H (Hit 20/15*, an error of about .08) -63r-63O-64R-43P-21r-65, and we have arrived at Backgame Position 2 below.





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 96
7 point match
pip: 167
score: 5

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a-BBDA-A-a-----b-dBbcCb-:1:1:1:65:5:2:0:7:10

Original Position


1.xgRollout17/1 6/1eq: -0,583
Player:
Opponent:
37,95% (G:4,37% B:0,11%)
62,05% (G:23,68% B:0,90%)
Conf.: � 0,006 (-0,589...-0,577) - [99,5%]
Duration: 16 minutes 03 seconds
2.Rollout123/12eq: -0,596 (-0,013)
Player:
Opponent:
42,52% (G:4,64% B:0,41%)
57,48% (G:30,74% B:1,35%)
Conf.: � 0,008 (-0,604...-0,588) - [0,5%]
Duration: 22 minutes 01 second
3.Rollout223/18 7/1eq: -0,613 (-0,030)
Player:
Opponent:
38,83% (G:4,40% B:0,08%)
61,17% (G:27,05% B:0,97%)
Conf.: � 0,009 (-0,622...-0,604) - [0,0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 56 seconds
4.Rollout29/3 7/2* eq: -0,618 (-0,035)
Player:
Opponent:
42,41% (G:5,74% B:0,08%)
57,59% (G:31,93% B:1,52%)
Conf.: � 0,011 (-0,628...-0,607) - [0,0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 45 seconds
5.XG Roller++23/18 9/3eq: -0,664 (-0,081)
Player:
Opponent:
41,68% (G:6,37% B:0,22%)
58,32% (G:34,12% B:1,60%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Konstantin's (short) rollout of the original position.

Below is a contrasting variant.





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 101
7 point match
pip: 167
score: 5

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a-BBDA-A-a-----c-dBbbCb-:1:1:1:65:5:2:0:7:10

Variant Position
Compared to the original, White is adjusted 13/8


1.Rollout123/12eq: -0.585
Player:
Opponent:
41.70% (G:4.74% B:0.22%)
58.30% (G:28.76% B:1.32%)
Conf.: กำ 0.004 (-0.589...-0.581) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 hours 25 minutes
2.Rollout17/1 6/1eq: -0.605 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
36.10% (G:4.18% B:0.08%)
63.90% (G:22.54% B:0.93%)
Conf.: กำ 0.003 (-0.608...-0.602) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 17 minutes
3.Rollout223/18 7/1eq: -0.634 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:
36.33% (G:3.50% B:0.12%)
63.67% (G:24.96% B:0.94%)
Conf.: กำ 0.005 (-0.638...-0.629) - [0.0%]
Duration: 45 minutes 54 seconds
4.Rollout223/18 9/3eq: -0.638 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:
40.53% (G:4.37% B:0.26%)
59.47% (G:30.86% B:1.36%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (-0.644...-0.632) - [0.0%]
Duration: 54 minutes 22 seconds
5.Rollout39/3 7/2* eq: -0.645 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:
40.32% (G:4.92% B:0.22%)
59.68% (G:30.73% B:1.65%)
Conf.: กำ 0.007 (-0.652...-0.638) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 26 seconds
6.Rollout39/4 7/1eq: -0.659 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:
34.32% (G:3.76% B:0.09%)
65.68% (G:23.73% B:1.05%)
Conf.: กำ 0.006 (-0.665...-0.653) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 58 seconds
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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