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BGonline.org Forums
OLM 20160504B The Prime Factors
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: OLM 20160504B The Prime Factors (Jason Lee)
Date: Wednesday, 4 May 2016, at 11:34 p.m.
Let's start out by noticing our big race deficit (27 pips, on roll). We're outboarded 3::2 although we have more total points, more useful points (esp. the four in a row), and an (OK) anchor.
Market losers are (probably) PoH on the 4-point (not counting 11 which doesn't make a new point) followed by a fan. That's (9/36)*(9/36) or 1/16, well short of an O'Hagan's Rule double. 66 and 55 are great rolls but if Dillies anchor it won't be a cash and maybe not even when they fail to anchor. They have no significant permanent flaws and we have a lot of real estate to acquire.
No Double
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