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What is the answer and how do we find out?

Posted By: scotty
Date: Wednesday, 1 June 2016, at 2:56 p.m.

In Response To: What is the answer and how do we find out? (Maik Stiebler)

i have played a similar position out thousands of times. I didn't keep any records. We can all be quite certain that my checker play decisions were far from optimal. I called it the 'fox hunt'. Blue are the hounds, and white are the foxes. I played it with one white checker and also with 2 white checkers. I did not use a doubling cube, so my estimations are based on cubeless play.

My estimation is that blue has about 45% to 50% winning chances IF blue can get a closeout with 2 checkers on the bar. White's best chances come from pointing on the leading edge of the prime, and trying to avoid the closeout.

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