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any 3-point game is at worst almost a take

Posted By: Albert Steg
Date: Friday, 8 July 2016, at 2:20 p.m.

In Response To: any 3-point game is at worst almost a take (Mochy)

Thanks Mochy!

So the important point I think I'm seeing now is that putting any of black's (the Doubler's) checkers behind the defender's 3-pt anchor will tend to cost something in flexibility and so make the position Takeable with a higher deficit i9n the pip-count. That makes sense. Initially I wasn't thinking of Black's checkers on the 2-pt as "spares". Here's Kit's position -- easier to see now that the made 2-pt is 'ugly' for Black -- so White is taking here trailing a big 30 pips.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 124 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 94 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BbCBC-C---bB----accbb---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	73.81% (G:5.51% B:0.10%)	73.99% (G:5.49% B:0.10%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	26.19% (G:2.37% B:0.07%)	26.01% (G:2.46% B:0.08%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.508	+1.021
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.817 (-0.061)	±0.011 (+0.806..+0.828)
Double/Take:	+0.878	±0.012 (+0.866..+0.890)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.122)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 3 minutes 21 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• Three Point Anchor Games
  Albert Steg -- Wednesday, 6 July 2016, at 1:55 p.m.
  • Three Point Anchor Games
    Casper Van der Tak -- Wednesday, 6 July 2016, at 2:03 p.m.
  • Three Point Anchor Games
    Igor -- Wednesday, 6 July 2016, at 2:56 p.m.
  • Three Point Anchor Games
    Joe Russell -- Thursday, 7 July 2016, at 3:22 a.m.
  • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
    Mochy -- Thursday, 7 July 2016, at 5:35 a.m.
    • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
      Casper Van der Tak -- Thursday, 7 July 2016, at 6:16 a.m.
    • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
      Albert Steg -- Friday, 8 July 2016, at 2:20 p.m.
      • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
        Mochy -- Friday, 8 July 2016, at 3:30 p.m.
      • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
        Bob Koca -- Friday, 8 July 2016, at 4:40 p.m.
    • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
      Seth -- Monday, 11 July 2016, at 2:57 a.m.
      • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
        Bob Koca -- Monday, 11 July 2016, at 4:06 p.m.
        • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
          Seth -- Tuesday, 12 July 2016, at 12:53 a.m.