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My Theory

Posted By: Maik Stiebler
Date: Thursday, 14 July 2016, at 7:50 a.m.

In Response To: My Theory (Bob Koca)

Rollout statistics support your theory that there is a big difference between both positions regarding White's ability to kill Blue's gammons. (Note that I rolled them out as checker plays for White with White already holding the cube, as I was not interested in the ND branch. XG feature request I: Allow rolling out specific branches of cube decisions. XG feature request II: Provide a nice HTML output for rollout statistics.)

Blitz position:

XGID=aB-B--C-A--aeE---c-e----B-:1:-1:-1:11:3:0:0:7:10

Cannot Move Non VR Equity: -0.232 (Cost: +25.95%)
Cube Win BG Win G Win S Cash Pass Lose S Lose G Lose BG D/T D/P Take % D/T D/P Take %
2 1 7 1 356 336 604 23 1,264 356 78.02%
4 12 138.72 548.07 332.20 224.01 9

Original position:

XGID=b--BbBDB-b--aD---bAbbb----:1:-1:-1:21:3:0:0:7:10

Bar/24 Bar/23 Non VR Equity: -0.123 (Cost: +27.39%)
Cube Win BG Win G Win S Cash Pass Lose S Lose G Lose BG D/T D/P Take % D/T D/P Take %
2 1 9 1 327 349 333 90 1,482 327 81.92%
4 12 152.37 605.28 273.62 406.72 32

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