[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 19 July 2016, at 11:03 p.m.

In Response To: For everything there is a season (Timothy Chow)

I overestimated White's winning chances here. She does have some slime vig, enough for an easy money take, but not enough ATS.





White is Player 1

score: 2
pip: 52
7 point match
pip: 158
score: 2

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-a-BBBBA-----AA-----B-dhB-:1:1:1:00:2:2:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 77.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 79.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.09% (G:10.84% B:1.69%) 20.23% (G:10.88% B:4.47%)
Cubeless Equities +0.398 +1.259
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.907 (-0.093)±0.007 (+0.901..+0.914)
Redouble/Take:+1.219 (+0.219)±0.011 (+1.208..+1.230)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 13 minutes 59 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 52
Unlimited Game
pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-a-BBBBA-----AA-----B-dhB-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 79.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.89% (G:10.58% B:0.83%) 20.60% (G:10.18% B:0.87%)
Cubeless Equities +0.448 +0.955
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.810 (-0.057)±0.009 (+0.802..+0.819)
Redouble/Take:+0.868±0.014 (+0.853..+0.882)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.132)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 11 minutes 57 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.