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Rollout
Posted By: Timothy Chow In Response To: For everything there is a season (Timothy Chow)
Date: Tuesday, 19 July 2016, at 11:03 p.m.
I overestimated White's winning chances here. She does have some slime vig, enough for an easy money take, but not enough ATS.
White is Player 1
score: 2
pip: 527 point match pip: 158
score: 2
Blue is Player 2XGID=-a-BBBBA-----AA-----B-dhB-:1:1:1:00:2:2:0:7:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take Player Winning Chances: 77.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 79.77% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 22.09% (G:10.84% B:1.69%) 20.23% (G:10.88% B:4.47%) Cubeless Equities +0.398 +1.259 Cubeful Equities No redouble: +0.907 (-0.093) ±0.007 (+0.901..+0.914) Redouble/Take: +1.219 (+0.219) ±0.011 (+1.208..+1.230) Redouble/Pass: +1.000 Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 13 minutes 59 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 52Unlimited Game pip: 158
score: 0
Blue is Player 2XGID=-a-BBBBA-----AA-----B-dhB-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take Player Winning Chances: 78.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 79.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Opponent Winning Chances: 21.89% (G:10.58% B:0.83%) 20.60% (G:10.18% B:0.87%) Cubeless Equities +0.448 +0.955 Cubeful Equities No redouble: +0.810 (-0.057) ±0.009 (+0.802..+0.819) Redouble/Take: +0.868 ±0.014 (+0.853..+0.882) Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.132) Best Cube action: Redouble / Take Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 11 minutes 57 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release
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