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BGonline.org Forums
Is a .09 cube error "huge"?-- *Spoilers*
Posted By: Albert Steg In Response To: Is a .09 cube error "huge"?-- *Spoilers* (Dmitriy Obukhov)
Date: Tuesday, 16 August 2016, at 3:50 p.m.
I think I see your point now. The cases where an opponent might take a later cube worth more than 1.0 is covered by the games where you have doubled earlier. So the potential compensating gains from not doubling are in not having doubled positions that immediately go badly, and in some potential for the opponent to drop a subsequent cube that is a take. I think that makes sense.
And yet, let's say you have knowledge that an opponent has a tendency to err on the side of taking proper drops. Would this not affect your doubling calculation at times, perhaps leading you to withhold doubling positions that are only marginal 'cubes'?
I guess in practice since it's hard enough to do what's optimally "right" you should just try to do that and let your opponent make mistakes where he will . . .
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