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Links to old posts
Posted By: Florin Popa In Response To: Links to old posts (Timothy Chow)
Date: Saturday, 17 September 2016, at 7:41 a.m.
I agree completely with what Joe Russel saidin the 2009 post. Here are my arguments. Suppose we move around and we see a bill of 10$ on the ground and we don't pick it. Then we pass again and is still there, we were lucky non one else picked it. From our wellness point of view we made a mistake but how much did we lose ? No way it was 20$. The same is in one of a repeating position and not doubling, XG says us that we were lucky enough (we gained back the MWC lost)to go back in the same psituation. Considering how this can happen because we are first on roll and it even doesn't matter the position is a mystery, my opionion is that the doubling cube impact on the game is not modelled well enough by XG. If non cube is in play the luck would be 0, no action posible.
If this situation happens many times the analysis says we played very bad throwing a lot of MWC, awfull PR and we were very lucky but is really like this ? For me no doubt it should count only once
So just making sum of the missed double errors will lead for conservative player to o distorsion in a long run between the PR and the results, we don't want this to happen.
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