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Rollout ATS and for money

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 10 October 2016, at 10:05 p.m.

In Response To: Not your everyday cube action (Timothy Chow)

I find it interesting that the rollouts indicate a take ATS, but a drop for money because of the gammons.

		White is Player 1 score: 4 pip: 93 7 point match pip: 126 score: 4 Blue is Player 2
XGID=-B---cC-BBCB-------bAad-e-:1:1:1:00:4:4:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	73.05% (G:15.59% B:0.43%)	73.44% (G:15.58% B:0.37%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	26.95% (G:2.68% B:0.04%)	26.56% (G:3.17% B:0.03%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.589	+0.935
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.903 (-0.032)	±0.008 (+0.895..+0.911)
Redouble/Take:	+0.935	±0.010 (+0.924..+0.945)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.065)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 17 minutes 12 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

---

For money:

		White is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 93 Unlimited Game pip: 126 score: 0 Blue is Player 2
XGID=-B---cC-BBCB-------bAad-e-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	72.66% (G:17.18% B:0.53%)	73.30% (G:18.73% B:0.76%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	27.34% (G:2.76% B:0.02%)	26.70% (G:3.06% B:0.02%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.603	+1.260
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.945 (-0.055)	±0.012 (+0.933..+0.957)
Redouble/Take:	+1.081 (+0.081)	±0.019 (+1.063..+1.100)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 17 minutes 25 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

Messages In This Thread

• Not your everyday cube action
  Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 9 October 2016, at 7:07 p.m.
  • Not your everyday cube action
    Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 9 October 2016, at 7:25 p.m.
  • Not your everyday cube action
    ah_clem -- Monday, 10 October 2016, at 12:41 p.m.
  • Rollout ATS and for money
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 10 October 2016, at 10:05 p.m.