I've rolled it only up to 1296 trials, but there is no point to continue. Compared to the original position, there are 3 reasonable plays more. Those are the ones that make the 22pt. anchor and break our homeboard safely. Since those plays are already clearly worse at this point in the rollout, the top moves will be the same as in the original position.
| 1. | Rollout1 | 23/21 22/21 3/2 | eq: +0,000 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52,85% (G:23,91% B:2,37%)
47,15% (G:11,80% B:0,59%) | Conf.: ± 0,013 (-0,013...+0,013) - [91,6%]
Duration: 12 minutes 40 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 23/21 5/4(2) | eq: -0,012 (-0,013) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52,56% (G:23,33% B:2,86%)
47,44% (G:11,27% B:0,51%) | Conf.: ± 0,012 (-0,024...+0,000) - [8,1%]
Duration: 12 minutes 34 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 23/21 22/21 4/3 | eq: -0,023 (-0,023) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52,37% (G:23,34% B:2,52%)
47,63% (G:11,67% B:0,54%) | Conf.: ± 0,012 (-0,035...-0,010) - [0,3%]
Duration: 12 minutes 17 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 23/21 6/5(2) | eq: -0,033 (-0,033) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51,88% (G:22,68% B:2,80%)
48,12% (G:11,16% B:0,49%) | Conf.: ± 0,013 (-0,046...-0,020) - [0,0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 20 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 23/21 22/21 5/4 | eq: -0,034 (-0,035) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51,93% (G:22,70% B:2,54%)
48,07% (G:11,63% B:0,54%) | Conf.: ± 0,012 (-0,046...-0,022) - [0,0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 28 seconds |
|
| 6. | Rollout1 | 23/21 22/21 6/5 | eq: -0,036 (-0,036) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52,03% (G:22,06% B:2,44%)
47,97% (G:11,16% B:0,55%) | Conf.: ± 0,013 (-0,049...-0,023) - [0,0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 06 seconds |
|
| 7. | Rollout1 | 23/21 4/3(2) | eq: -0,038 (-0,039) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50,99% (G:23,93% B:3,20%)
49,01% (G:11,86% B:0,59%) | Conf.: ± 0,012 (-0,050...-0,027) - [0,0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 44 seconds |
|
| 8. | Rollout1 | 23/22 6/5 6/4 | eq: -0,055 (-0,055) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51,35% (G:21,91% B:2,69%)
48,65% (G:11,19% B:0,51%) | Conf.: ± 0,012 (-0,067...-0,043) - [0,0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 24 seconds |
|
| 9. | Rollout1 | 23/22 5/4 5/3 | eq: -0,059 (-0,059) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51,20% (G:22,57% B:2,68%)
48,80% (G:11,38% B:0,54%) | Conf.: ± 0,012 (-0,071...-0,046) - [0,0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 47 seconds |
|
| 10. | Rollout1 | 23/21 3/2(2) | eq: -0,067 (-0,067) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49,34% (G:24,77% B:3,36%)
50,66% (G:11,61% B:0,56%) | Conf.: ± 0,016 (-0,083...-0,050) - [0,0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 41 seconds |
|
| 11. | Rollout1 | 23/22 4/3 4/2 | eq: -0,075 (-0,075) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50,13% (G:23,11% B:2,91%)
49,87% (G:12,13% B:0,60%) | Conf.: ± 0,014 (-0,088...-0,061) - [0,0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 52 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
