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Rollout Results: Too Good and Take

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Tuesday, 25 April 2017, at 11:20 a.m.

In Response To: –4 –5 Redouble? Take? (Paul Weaver)

Both ATS and money rollout results appear below.

		White is othello score: 0 pip: 125 5 point match pip: 118 score: 1 Blue is peever
XGID=a--BCBBA-B-b-A--bbbbBb-b--:1:1:1:00:1:0:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	72.41% (G:35.88% B:1.59%)	73.37% (G:30.32% B:1.57%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	27.59% (G:4.97% B:0.27%)	26.63% (G:4.41% B:0.37%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.952	+1.199
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+1.026	±0.005 (+1.021..+1.032)
Redouble/Take:	+0.937 (-0.089)	±0.007 (+0.930..+0.944)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.000 (-0.026)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 30 minutes 22 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

		White is othello score: 0 pip: 125 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 118 score: 0 Blue is peever
XGID=a--BCBBA-B-b-A--bbbbBb-b--:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	71.97% (G:34.08% B:0.70%)	72.59% (G:35.66% B:0.83%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	28.03% (G:4.62% B:0.21%)	27.41% (G:5.01% B:0.27%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.739	+1.528
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.951 (-0.049)	±0.007 (+0.944..+0.959)
Redouble/Take:	+1.315 (+0.315)	±0.015 (+1.300..+1.331)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 6 minutes 31 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• –4 –5 Redouble? Take?
  Paul Weaver -- Monday, 24 April 2017, at 5:22 p.m.
  • –4 –5 Redouble? Take?
    scotty -- Monday, 24 April 2017, at 9:45 p.m.
    • –4 –5 Redouble? Take?
      Timothy Chow -- Monday, 24 April 2017, at 10:36 p.m.
      • –4 –5 Redouble? Take?
        Stick -- Tuesday, 25 April 2017, at 4:43 a.m.
      • –4 –5 Redouble? Take?
        scotty -- Tuesday, 25 April 2017, at 6:04 a.m.
        • –4 –5 Redouble? Take?
          Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 25 April 2017, at 11:24 p.m.
  • Rollout Results: Too Good and Take
    Paul Weaver -- Tuesday, 25 April 2017, at 11:20 a.m.