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Additional remark, esp. for sebalotek

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 1 May 2017, at 1:04 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)


Here's another interesting observation that we can extract easily from XG's rollout statistics (see below). Blue gets in a double more often after 24/20(2) than after 13/11(2) 6/4(2), about 35.5% vs. 33.1% of the time.

To get this, add the "D/T" and "D/P" numbers and divide by the total number of rollout trials. For example, for 13/11(2) 6/4(2), (878+836)/5184 ≈ 0.331. 

 

13/11(2) 6/4(2) Non VR Equity: -0.182 (Cost: +76.48%) 

Cube	Win BG	Win G	Win S	Cash	Pass	Lose S	Lose G	Lose BG	D/T	D/P	Take %	D/T	D/P	Take %	 

1	9	149		836	740		25	3	878	836	51.23%	2,544	740	77.47%	 

2	37	268	386	605	76	1,148	411	21	152	605	20.08%	318	76	80.71%	 

4	11	50.28	111.85		5	136.57	17.30	1				137	5	96.48%	 

8		2.34	118.25			16.40	0								 

 

 

24/20(2) Non VR Equity: -0.107 (Cost: +76.97%) 

Cube	Win BG	Win G	Win S	Cash	Pass	Lose S	Lose G	Lose BG	D/T	D/P	Take %	D/T	D/P	Take %	 

1	8	95		909	782		19	1	932	909	50.62%	2,438	782	75.71%	 

2	16	153	481	627	92	1,351	193	10	128	627	16.95%	319	92	77.62%	 

4	3	51.19	142.50		3	129.92	10.39	3				104	3	97.20%	 

8		0.15	89.81			13.04	1





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