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A most challenging quiz on bearing off

Posted By: Albert Steg
Date: Tuesday, 2 May 2017, at 9:30 p.m.

In Response To: A most challenging quiz on bearing off (Phil Simborg)

Thanks for posting yet another useful quiz, Phil. I especially like these quizzes that dwell on variations of similar positions -- it really helps isolate the themes.

I'm still working through the problems, adding the most useful ones to my database and often rolling out some of the problems. I thought it worth mentioning that especially in these back-game scenarios, it's always worth grabbing ++ evals on the "also-ran" plays that XG discards at lower eval levels. (and ++ doesn't take much extra time). For example, on problem #7, if you give 6/5(4) a ++ hearing, it pops right up to the top of the list, .016 better than 6/4(2) -- which to me is surprising, because I thought leaving your 4-point "light" would be a bad idea! A rollout makes all three top plays even closer.

Sorry I can't seem to get the export to bear the checkers off the other way to match your quiz! Also, my confidence in getting XG exactly right is still a little shaky, so if I've misrepresented the position, it would be useful for me to see how!





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 158
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 68
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-cbDCDD------------bbbbb--:1:-1:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 11

1.Rollout16/5(4)eq: +0.652
Player:
Opponent:
66.56% (G:38.77% B:8.50%)
33.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.639...+0.664) - [81.7%]
Duration: 2 minutes 22 seconds
2.Rollout16/4(2)eq: +0.643 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:
66.25% (G:39.00% B:8.11%)
33.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.633...+0.654) - [15.1%]
Duration: 2 minutes 12 seconds
3.Rollout16/3 5/4eq: +0.638 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
66.26% (G:38.85% B:7.68%)
33.74% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.628...+0.649) - [3.1%]
Duration: 1 minute 57 seconds
4.XG Roller++6/5 6/3eq: +0.638 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
65.85% (G:38.09% B:7.40%)
34.15% (G:0.05% B:0.00%)
5.XG Roller++5/4(4)eq: +0.588 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:
64.36% (G:36.28% B:6.62%)
35.64% (G:0.02% B:0.00%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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