[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Six-prime versus six-prime! At 3a7a no less

Posted By: Michael
Date: Monday, 12 June 2017, at 8:09 a.m.

In Response To: Six-prime versus six-prime! At 3a7a no less (Timothy Chow)

Let's calculate his losing chances. I assume if he enters (11/36) and O won't hit back he loses the game. So 0.305 *(1-0.305)=21% --> 79% winning chances Then I estimate gammon rates for him about 10% and 15% for O. Looking a by tables (*) ATS the cubeful DP is about 75% and the Cash point about 81%. Theoretically it's a D/T.

However look at the other side of the equation. There's a huge recube vig if he enters! O will redouble at as low as 48% and cash at 64%

Would you Double Otb??? Was he a weaker player to end up losing 4-0? If yes I wouldn't Double.

NB. (*) can be downloaded from my drive here: https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/0B7L6em2ChhMOZmpxYmtrTE5aUlU

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.