I quickly hit and covered the 5-point here and that's a big mistake. Hit and run to the 14-point is clearly correct. Even hitting and playing 5/1 with the 4 is better than covering the 5-point. I guess keeping your 5 prime intact overrides covering the valuable 5-point in this position.
           
 
           
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 156 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 142
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---baADBBBB-ba---bad-Ab-A-:1:-1:1:64:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/18* 18/14 | eq: +0.486 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 71.40% (G:21.54% B:0.88%)
28.60% (G:5.98% B:0.26%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.475...+0.497) - [100.0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 48 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/18* 5/1 | eq: +0.369 (-0.117) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 67.03% (G:21.89% B:0.78%)
32.97% (G:7.43% B:0.36%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.357...+0.382) - [0.0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 56 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/18* 9/5 | eq: +0.310 (-0.176) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 64.10% (G:25.76% B:1.49%)
35.90% (G:9.46% B:0.56%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.299...+0.322) - [0.0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 15 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10