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What am I missing?

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Wednesday, 12 July 2017, at 3:36 a.m.

In Response To: What am I missing? (Mike Clapsadle)

Suppose you do win 20% of the time. Then your match equity assuming no gammon losses is 20% * 1 + 80% * .30 = 44% < 50%.

You were multiplying .30 times 1 instead.

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