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The World Championship Final from my Perspective -- Congratulations to Didier and to Petko

Posted By: sebalotek
Date: Monday, 7 August 2017, at 8:16 p.m.

In Response To: The World Championship Final from my Perspective -- Congratulations to Didier and to Petko (Bill Riles)

>> Given good dice and the skill to take advantage of the rolls it is very difficult to defeat a very competent championship level player.

This ^^

I did say to the numerous Petko supporters in the chatbox before their first matchup to not underestimate Didier as he has quite dangerous sub-5 PRs on record.

Some time ago I made a table to estimate MWC based on PR difference and match length. I'm not a mathematician so I'm not sure how accurate it is. However the estimate seems believable to me.

According to the table, for a 19 point match, given Bob's refined PR difference (1.25), the initial MWC split would be around the region of 55% Petko to 45% Didier based on equal luck.. or am I talking nonsense again :)

https://www.slideshare.net/WayneJoseph/backgammon-mwc-estimator-by-pr-difference-and-match-length-v03

In addition, Petko pointing out that Didier had not taken off his 4th double 5 in a reasonably close bearoff was pure class. Kudos to both!

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