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Three plays, what is right?

Posted By: Michael
Date: Monday, 4 September 2017, at 11:27 a.m.

In Response To: Three plays, what is right? (Ian Dunstan)

You could help by telling us what's the best move ;-)

I assume the major lines of thinking are a) to break the 5pt anchor b)to hit with 11/3 c)To play totally safe with 13/5 or d)to play partially safe with 13/8 11/8.

Notice that leaving a shot at a time that the opponent should leave shots right next roll is usually bad.This alone strikes out a and partially b. B leaves 2 blots around and is risky. Moreover if she hits that would be costly and you may also end up with 2 on the roof. c looks ugly because of over stacking. This leaves only one move 13/8 11/8. The merits? The back checker is left with only 4s to run. Targeted to point and hit. If she hits you at 11 she breaks a point leaving 2 blots around plus her back checker (total 3). Too risky for her.

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