[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Cube action ATS?

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Wednesday, 17 January 2018, at 12:03 a.m.

In Response To: Cube action ATS? (Casper Van der Tak)

If Blue was adjusted 5/6(3) and 2/off, he would have about 7 pips wastage. I'd give about +2 for stacking on the 5pt and +1 for 2nd guy on the 2pt, so 10 pips wastage for the sum of 51 EPC.

For White, I know 222333 board (spares on the high points) is 9,5 pips wastage. Substract 1 pip from that for 1 less guy on the ace and I get 8,5 pips wastage for the sum of 64.5 EPC.

I'd classify this as flat vs rolls position, for which I know the 10% EPC trailer (off-roll) has about 22% GWC and 25% EPC trailer has about 13% GWC less (0,1 of leader's EPC + 8), so 9% GWC. 25% EPC trailer would have 51 x 1.25 = 63.75 EPC.

Here he is 0.75 EPC worse than that. What's 1 EPC worth? In the range of -10%/-25% EPC, 1 EPC is worth about 13%GWC/7.65EPC = about 1.7(?)% GWC. Over the -25% EPC range it's less than that due to diminishing returns... so about 1.2-1.3%(?) per EPC, so 0,75 EPC is about 1% GWC. This gives about 8% to the trailer.

It seems a bit high for a double, given trailer's take point of 6,67%. I think I'd double being about 1% from the take point. Certainly a take.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.