       
 
         
 | | White is Justin Nunez
score: 6
pip: 79 | | 11 point match | pip: 68
score: 10
Blue is Ray Fogerlund |
|
| XGID=-CAaBCD-B----------cccbc--:1:1:1:54:10:6:0:11:10 |
| Blue to play 54 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 6/2 6/1 | eq: +0.541 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 77.21% (G:0.37% B:0.00%)
22.79% (G:0.28% B:0.01%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.540...+0.542) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6.5 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/3* 6/2 | eq: +0.308 (-0.233) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 68.41% (G:1.42% B:0.01%)
31.59% (G:5.10% B:0.14%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.306...+0.309) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9.4 seconds |
|
| 3. | 3-ply | 6/1 5/1 | eq: +0.429 (-0.112) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 71.86% (G:0.32% B:0.00%)
28.14% (G:0.76% B:0.00%) | |
|
| 4. | 1-ply | 8/4 6/1 | eq: +0.037 (-0.504) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.58% (G:0.26% B:0.00%)
47.42% (G:1.34% B:0.01%) | |
|
| 5. | 1-ply | 8/4 8/3* | eq: -0.183 (-0.724) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 44.25% (G:0.89% B:0.01%)
55.75% (G:6.13% B:0.02%) | |
|
| |
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 58918962
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: 4-ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
This finals match showed a high level of play. Ray's PR was 4.54 and Justin's 3.85 with the luck favoring Ray by +4.122 on 29 jokers. I posted this not because it is a difficult problem. Sitting calmly at your computer it's clear enough that hitting takes an unnecessary risk, you still have a lead in the race plus your prime, but under the stress of the finals it just isn't so easy. As it was, Ray hit, Justin missed and Ray covered. He was hit though after taking four checkers off. He bounced out with an immediate 61 off the bar, wasn't hit on the way around and won easily.