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Average luck in a match (the answer)

Posted By: Steven E. Carey
Date: Monday, 4 June 2018, at 2:40 p.m.

In Response To: Average luck in a match (Steven E. Carey)

I don't want to pretend this is the deepest insight, but I see this Luck(Joker) number appearing in my XG analysis, and I want to try to understand it, esp. when I lose. When the luck is against me, I am struck by how closely that number corresponds to the number of points my opponent has earned and it's interaction with PR. My last match had PRs of 5.95 & 12.21 with the luck against me by 8.627 and I lost at DMP.

Anyway, I added up the absolute Luck(Joker) number is one hundred 11pt matches and came up with and average luck of 2.89. And that number, at least to me, doesn't violate common sense and I find the result satisfying.

Messages In This Thread

• Average luck in a match
  Steven E. Carey -- Thursday, 31 May 2018, at 10:00 p.m.
  • Average luck in a match
    Bob Koca -- Thursday, 31 May 2018, at 10:50 p.m.
    • Average luck in a match
      Steven E. Carey -- Thursday, 31 May 2018, at 11:28 p.m.
      • Average luck in a match
        Florin Popa -- Thursday, 31 May 2018, at 11:49 p.m.
        • Average luck in a match
          Steven E. Carey -- Friday, 1 June 2018, at 12:36 a.m.
          • Average luck in a match
            Bob Koca -- Friday, 1 June 2018, at 12:41 a.m.
            • Average luck in a match
              Steven E. Carey -- Friday, 1 June 2018, at 12:48 a.m.
              • Average luck in a match (the answer)
                Steven E. Carey -- Monday, 4 June 2018, at 2:40 p.m.
                • Average luck in a match (the answer)
                  Florin Popa -- Monday, 4 June 2018, at 11:22 p.m.
          • Average luck in a match
            Florin Popa -- Friday, 1 June 2018, at 1:03 a.m.
  • Average luck in a match
    Michael -- Friday, 1 June 2018, at 5:04 p.m.
    • Average luck in a match
      Michael -- Friday, 1 June 2018, at 5:09 p.m.