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64 opening for money / XGR++ analysis

Posted By: Steven E. Carey
Date: Wednesday, 6 June 2018, at 5:43 p.m.

In Response To: 64 opening for money / XGR++ analysis (eXtreme Gammon)

If anyone would like to run these out further, that's okay with me. However, in my experience, with the confidence level running at .0020 I would not expect more rollouts to make much difference.

I'm running Windows 7 and even with a memory cleaner, I would need to restart every two days which, coincidentally, is the amount of time it took to run one unit of rollouts (1296).

I have done two other XGR++ analyses: 21 & 41 openings.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 167 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 167 score: 0 Blue is eXtremeGammon
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 21

1.	Rollout1	13/11 6/5	eq: +0.0205
	Player: Opponent: 50.77% (G:14.82% B:0.69%) 49.23% (G:14.86% B:0.90%) Conf.: ±0.0021 (+0.0184...+0.0227) - [100.0%] Duration: 5 days 12 hours 26 minutes
2.	Rollout1	24/23 13/11	eq: +0.0053 (-0.0152)
	Player: Opponent: 50.10% (G:14.44% B:0.68%) 49.90% (G:13.90% B:0.64%) Conf.: ±0.0020 (+0.0033...+0.0073) - [0.0%] Duration: 43 days 01 hour 38 minutes
3.	Book2	24/21	eq: -0.0405 (-0.0610)
	Player: Opponent: 49.14% (G:12.88% B:0.63%) 50.86% (G:13.65% B:0.57%) Conf.: ±0.0113 (-0.0518...-0.0292) - [0.0%]
4.	Book2	13/10	eq: -0.0437 (-0.0642)
	Player: Opponent: 48.91% (G:14.02% B:0.68%) 51.09% (G:14.47% B:0.74%) Conf.: ±0.0115 (-0.0552...-0.0321) - [0.0%]
5.	Book3	24/23 24/22	eq: -0.0565 (-0.0771)
	Player: Opponent: 48.66% (G:12.81% B:0.57%) 51.34% (G:14.03% B:0.58%) Conf.: ±0.0066 (-0.0631...-0.0499) - [0.0%]
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 3022249 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++ 2 Generated by Stick Rice on 12/9/2009 using eXtreme Gammon 1.10 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 36438452 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply 3 Generated by GameSite 2000, Ltd on 2/26/2011 using eXtreme Gammon 2.00 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 38613390 Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 167 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 167 score: 0 Blue is eXtremeGammon
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 41

1.	Rollout1	24/23 13/9	eq: -0.0007
	Player: Opponent: 50.00% (G:14.92% B:0.67%) 50.00% (G:14.44% B:0.67%) Conf.: ±0.0020 (-0.0027...+0.0014) - [100.0%] Duration: 19 days 05 hours 03 minutes
2.	Rollout1	13/9 6/5	eq: -0.0117 (-0.0110)
	Player: Opponent: 50.04% (G:14.79% B:0.72%) 49.96% (G:15.15% B:1.00%) Conf.: ±0.0022 (-0.0138...-0.0095) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 days 03 hours 28 minutes
3.	Book2	24/23 24/20	eq: -0.0420 (-0.0414)
	Player: Opponent: 49.16% (G:12.56% B:0.63%) 50.84% (G:13.59% B:0.52%) Conf.: ±0.0122 (-0.0542...-0.0299) - [0.0%]
4.	Book2	13/8	eq: -0.0443 (-0.0436)
	Player: Opponent: 48.90% (G:13.66% B:0.67%) 51.10% (G:14.58% B:0.66%) Conf.: ±0.0117 (-0.0560...-0.0326) - [0.0%]
5.	Book2	24/20 6/5	eq: -0.0758 (-0.0751)
	Player: Opponent: 48.66% (G:12.42% B:0.57%) 51.34% (G:14.45% B:0.73%) Conf.: ±0.0134 (-0.0892...-0.0624) - [0.0%]
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 60633156 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++ 2 Generated by Stick Rice on 12/11/2009 using eXtreme Gammon 1.10 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 27626356 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• 64 opening for money / XGR++ analysis
  Steven E. Carey -- Monday, 4 June 2018, at 4:53 p.m.
  • 64 opening for money / XGR++ analysis
    neilkaz -- Monday, 4 June 2018, at 7:10 p.m.
    • 64 opening for money / XGR++ analysis
      Jack Edelson -- Tuesday, 5 June 2018, at 6:02 p.m.
      • 64 opening for money / XGR++ analysis
        Stick -- Tuesday, 5 June 2018, at 6:07 p.m.
    • 64 opening for money / XGR++ analysis
      eXtreme Gammon -- Wednesday, 6 June 2018, at 1:42 a.m.
      • 64 opening for money / XGR++ analysis
        Steven E. Carey -- Wednesday, 6 June 2018, at 5:43 p.m.
        • 64 opening for money / XGR++ analysis
          neilkaz -- Wednesday, 6 June 2018, at 5:56 p.m.
          • 64 opening for money / XGR++ analysis
            Steven E. Carey -- Wednesday, 6 June 2018, at 6:40 p.m.
  • 64 opening for money / XGR++ analysis
    Florin Popa -- Tuesday, 5 June 2018, at 7:51 p.m.
    • 64 opening for money / XGR++ analysis
      Steven E. Carey -- Tuesday, 5 June 2018, at 8:33 p.m.
      • 64 opening for money / XGR++ analysis
        neilkaz -- Tuesday, 5 June 2018, at 10:11 p.m.
        • 64 opening for money / XGR++ analysis
          Steven E. Carey -- Tuesday, 5 June 2018, at 10:50 p.m.
  • Thank you for this
    Fatboy -- Wednesday, 6 June 2018, at 1:55 a.m.