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OT - Tiger

Posted By: Bill Finneran
Date: Monday, 13 August 2018, at 4:58 p.m.

In Response To: OT - Tiger (Bob Koca)

My 30% was based on an expectation that if he was healthy enough to compete in 20 majors over five years with no withdrawals, he would win at least one. That would be reduced by health issues to .3 expected wins. His health this year allowed him to compete full throttle in all four for the first time since 2013. Like BG, Golf is a fickle game, you have a great tournament if you beat 154 others, but you still finish 2nd when you do that in a field of 156. The masters is a little easier since there are usually 90-100 qualifiers and a good 20 of them have no chance to win.

I will take any small wager 30/70 over the next 16 majors he is healthy enough to compete in and think I have a steal.

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