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Rollout: Rolling home a prime with XG (Results for Money)
Posted By: Justin Nowell In Response To: Rollout: Rolling home a prime with XG (part 2) (David Levy)
Date: Friday, 21 September 2018, at 6:04 a.m.
I ran this position for money and the results from ++ to a rollout vary by a lot.
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 70Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 123
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=----BaBBBBBB-A---a--dbbcb-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take Player Winning Chances: 78.64% (G:3.85% B:0.05%) 73.15% (G:4.25% B:0.15%) Opponent Winning Chances: 21.36% (G:5.48% B:0.02%) 26.85% (G:7.95% B:0.02%) Cubeless Equities +0.557 +0.855 Cubeful Equities No redouble: +0.796 Redouble/Take: +0.731 (-0.066) Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.204) Best Cube action: No redouble / Take Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 19.6% eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 70Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 123
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=----BaBBBBBB-A---a--dbbcb-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take Player Winning Chances: 76.82% (G:4.30% B:0.08%) 76.42% (G:4.69% B:0.13%) Opponent Winning Chances: 23.18% (G:6.26% B:0.02%) 23.58% (G:6.99% B:0.02%) Cubeless Equities +0.517 +1.013 Cubeful Equities No redouble: +0.733 (-0.203) ±0.022 (+0.711..+0.756) Redouble/Take: +0.936 ±0.042 (+0.894..+0.978) Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.064) Best Cube action: Redouble / Take Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 99.9% Duration: 4 minutes 24 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
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