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Relatively normal looking XG Rollout

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Wednesday, 17 October 2018, at 7:38 p.m.

In Response To: A Somewhat Tricky 43 - Rollout & Comments (Chris Bray)

All I have done different from Chris's rollout is up the settings for the first two moves. These are the standard settings I have been using for years because repeating errors in the first 2 moves can most distort rollout results and it doesn't make the rollout that much slower as once the moves have been analysed once when it comes up again the result is just pulled from the cache.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 109
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 96
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--ACBBBbB----C-a-aadbbb---:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43
1.Rollout15/1 4/1eq: +0.480
Player:
Opponent:
65.79% (G:0.80% B:0.02%)
34.21% (G:1.40% B:0.04%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.473...+0.487) - [65.4%]
Duration: 2 minutes 38 seconds
2.Rollout15/2 5/1eq: +0.477 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
65.77% (G:0.75% B:0.01%)
34.23% (G:1.41% B:0.04%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.470...+0.484) - [28.8%]
Duration: 2 minutes 14 seconds
3.Rollout16/3 5/1eq: +0.473 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:
65.53% (G:0.92% B:0.02%)
34.47% (G:1.82% B:0.05%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.466...+0.481) - [5.5%]
Duration: 2 minutes 44 seconds
4.Rollout16/2 4/1eq: +0.468 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:
65.43% (G:0.97% B:0.04%)
34.57% (G:1.63% B:0.05%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.461...+0.475) - [0.3%]
Duration: 2 minutes 44 seconds
5.Rollout18/5 8/4eq: +0.466 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
64.97% (G:0.89% B:0.01%)
35.03% (G:1.00% B:0.03%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.459...+0.473) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 31 seconds
6.Rollout113/6eq: +0.461 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:
64.68% (G:1.35% B:0.09%)
35.32% (G:1.34% B:0.03%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.455...+0.467) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 28 seconds
7.Rollout16/2 5/2eq: +0.461 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:
65.28% (G:0.77% B:0.01%)
34.72% (G:1.67% B:0.04%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.453...+0.468) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 11 seconds
8.Rollout16/3 6/2eq: +0.435 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:
64.01% (G:0.75% B:0.01%)
35.99% (G:1.67% B:0.04%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.428...+0.441) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 22 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 5
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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