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Confirmation!

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 5:48 p.m.

In Response To: Confirmation! (Bob Koca)

The fact that the trailer can never win more than 2 points by taking and winning makes it harder for him to win the match. Because of this, the trailer's dead cube takepoint should dip below 25% once he falls behind by a few points in the match.

It's just barely over 25% if you assume a 28% g rate and cube vig. I would think that taking away these two factors reduces the trailer's MWC at any score and therefore lowers the dead cube tp to under 25% once he's down by a few points in the match.

Messages In This Thread

• Why Not Pass?
  Marv Porten -- Friday, 14 December 2018, at 6:38 a.m.
  • Why Not Pass?
    Casper Van der Tak -- Friday, 14 December 2018, at 8:09 a.m.
    • Why Not Pass?
      Marv Porten -- Saturday, 15 December 2018, at 12:28 a.m.
      • Clarification
        Marv Porten -- Saturday, 15 December 2018, at 1:13 a.m.
      • Why Not Pass?
        Bob Koca -- Saturday, 15 December 2018, at 4:57 a.m.
        • Why Not Pass?
          Marv Porten -- Saturday, 15 December 2018, at 5:58 a.m.
          • Why Not Pass?
            Michael -- Saturday, 15 December 2018, at 8:34 p.m.
            • Confirmation!
              Marv Porten -- Saturday, 15 December 2018, at 11:01 p.m.
              • Confirmation!
                Michael -- Sunday, 16 December 2018, at 11:04 a.m.
              • Confirmation!
                Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 16 December 2018, at 12:04 p.m.
              • Confirmation!
                John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 1:35 p.m.
                • Confirmation!
                  Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 1:54 p.m.
                  • Confirmation!
                    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 3:23 p.m.
                    • Confirmation!
                      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 3:37 p.m.
                      • Confirmation!
                        John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 5:48 p.m.
                        • Confirmation!
                          Bob Koca -- Thursday, 20 December 2018, at 12:28 a.m.
                          • Confirmation!
                            John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 20 December 2018, at 2:11 a.m.
                • Confirmation!
                  Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 6:26 p.m.
                • Confirmation!
                  Marv Porten -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 6:37 p.m.
                  • Confirmation!
                    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 8:42 p.m.
                  • Confirmation!
                    Joe Russell -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 11:30 a.m.
                  • Confirmation!
                    Joe Russell -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 11:32 a.m.
                    • Confirmation!
                      Bill Finneran -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 11:51 a.m.
                      • Confirmation!
                        Marv Porten -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 7:27 p.m.
                        • Confirmation!
                          Bob Koca -- Monday, 31 December 2018, at 5:10 a.m.
                          • Confirmation!
                            Marv Porten -- Monday, 31 December 2018, at 11:21 p.m.
                    • Confirmation!
                      Marv Porten -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 7:18 p.m.
                      • Confirmation!
                        TarHeelFan -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 8:36 p.m.
                        • Confirmation!
                          Marv Porten -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 9:06 p.m.
                          • Confirmation!
                            TarHeelFan -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 11:02 p.m.
                • Confirmation!
                  David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 25 December 2018, at 5:42 a.m.
  • Why Not Pass?
    Michael Nielsen -- Sunday, 16 December 2018, at 5:07 p.m.
  • Why Not Pass?
    Florin Popa -- Monday, 17 December 2018, at 12:30 a.m.
  • Why Not Pass?
    Dmitriy Obukhov -- Monday, 17 December 2018, at 3:30 a.m.
    • proved !?
      Florin Popa -- Monday, 17 December 2018, at 11:06 a.m.
    • Why Not Pass?
      Bob Koca -- Monday, 17 December 2018, at 3:45 p.m.
      • Why Not Pass?
        Dmitriy Obukhov -- Monday, 17 December 2018, at 8:27 p.m.
  • Why Not Pass?
    Joseph Pregler -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 6:14 p.m.
    • Why Not Pass?
      Marv Porten -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 6:31 p.m.
      • Why Not Pass?
        Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 6:51 p.m.
        • Why Not Pass?
          Marv Porten -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 7:09 p.m.
          • Why Not Pass?
            Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 7:20 p.m.
    • Why Not Pass?
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 31 December 2018, at 6:13 p.m.
  • Clarification
    Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 12:21 a.m.
    • Clarification
      Marv Porten -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 2:14 a.m.
      • Clarification
        Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 5:07 a.m.
        • Clarification
          Joe Russell -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 7:18 a.m.
          • Clarification
            Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 8:14 a.m.
        • Clarification
          Marv Porten -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 6:26 p.m.
          • Clarification
            Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 7:21 p.m.
            • P.S.
              Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 8:06 p.m.
              • P.S.
                Marv Porten -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 9:05 p.m.
  • Why Not Pass?
    Joe Russell -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 7:06 a.m.