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Clarification

Posted By: Joe Russell
Date: Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 7:18 a.m.

In Response To: Clarification (Nack Ballard)

Because you will not win exactly 2.22 games by taking. You will win somewhere between 0 and 8. Variance favors the trailer. The doubler would love to be guaranteed to win 6 of the 8 games 78% and 5 of the 8 games 22%. The taker should never allow this. Variance favors the taker, as his positive variances from expectation are much more heavily rewarded than his negative variances are penalized.

Messages In This Thread

• Why Not Pass?
  Marv Porten -- Friday, 14 December 2018, at 6:38 a.m.
  • Why Not Pass?
    Casper Van der Tak -- Friday, 14 December 2018, at 8:09 a.m.
    • Why Not Pass?
      Marv Porten -- Saturday, 15 December 2018, at 12:28 a.m.
      • Clarification
        Marv Porten -- Saturday, 15 December 2018, at 1:13 a.m.
      • Why Not Pass?
        Bob Koca -- Saturday, 15 December 2018, at 4:57 a.m.
        • Why Not Pass?
          Marv Porten -- Saturday, 15 December 2018, at 5:58 a.m.
          • Why Not Pass?
            Michael -- Saturday, 15 December 2018, at 8:34 p.m.
            • Confirmation!
              Marv Porten -- Saturday, 15 December 2018, at 11:01 p.m.
              • Confirmation!
                Michael -- Sunday, 16 December 2018, at 11:04 a.m.
              • Confirmation!
                Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 16 December 2018, at 12:04 p.m.
              • Confirmation!
                John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 1:35 p.m.
                • Confirmation!
                  Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 1:54 p.m.
                  • Confirmation!
                    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 3:23 p.m.
                    • Confirmation!
                      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 3:37 p.m.
                      • Confirmation!
                        John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 5:48 p.m.
                        • Confirmation!
                          Bob Koca -- Thursday, 20 December 2018, at 12:28 a.m.
                          • Confirmation!
                            John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 20 December 2018, at 2:11 a.m.
                • Confirmation!
                  Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 6:26 p.m.
                • Confirmation!
                  Marv Porten -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 6:37 p.m.
                  • Confirmation!
                    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 8:42 p.m.
                  • Confirmation!
                    Joe Russell -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 11:30 a.m.
                  • Confirmation!
                    Joe Russell -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 11:32 a.m.
                    • Confirmation!
                      Bill Finneran -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 11:51 a.m.
                      • Confirmation!
                        Marv Porten -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 7:27 p.m.
                        • Confirmation!
                          Bob Koca -- Monday, 31 December 2018, at 5:10 a.m.
                          • Confirmation!
                            Marv Porten -- Monday, 31 December 2018, at 11:21 p.m.
                    • Confirmation!
                      Marv Porten -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 7:18 p.m.
                      • Confirmation!
                        TarHeelFan -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 8:36 p.m.
                        • Confirmation!
                          Marv Porten -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 9:06 p.m.
                          • Confirmation!
                            TarHeelFan -- Saturday, 29 December 2018, at 11:02 p.m.
                • Confirmation!
                  David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 25 December 2018, at 5:42 a.m.
  • Why Not Pass?
    Michael Nielsen -- Sunday, 16 December 2018, at 5:07 p.m.
  • Why Not Pass?
    Florin Popa -- Monday, 17 December 2018, at 12:30 a.m.
  • Why Not Pass?
    Dmitriy Obukhov -- Monday, 17 December 2018, at 3:30 a.m.
    • proved !?
      Florin Popa -- Monday, 17 December 2018, at 11:06 a.m.
    • Why Not Pass?
      Bob Koca -- Monday, 17 December 2018, at 3:45 p.m.
      • Why Not Pass?
        Dmitriy Obukhov -- Monday, 17 December 2018, at 8:27 p.m.
  • Why Not Pass?
    Joseph Pregler -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 6:14 p.m.
    • Why Not Pass?
      Marv Porten -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 6:31 p.m.
      • Why Not Pass?
        Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 6:51 p.m.
        • Why Not Pass?
          Marv Porten -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 7:09 p.m.
          • Why Not Pass?
            Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 19 December 2018, at 7:20 p.m.
    • Why Not Pass?
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 31 December 2018, at 6:13 p.m.
  • Clarification
    Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 12:21 a.m.
    • Clarification
      Marv Porten -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 2:14 a.m.
      • Clarification
        Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 5:07 a.m.
        • Clarification
          Joe Russell -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 7:18 a.m.
          • Clarification
            Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 8:14 a.m.
        • Clarification
          Marv Porten -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 6:26 p.m.
          • Clarification
            Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 7:21 p.m.
            • P.S.
              Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 8:06 p.m.
              • P.S.
                Marv Porten -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 9:05 p.m.
  • Why Not Pass?
    Joe Russell -- Sunday, 30 December 2018, at 7:06 a.m.