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Does the ace matter much? -- VARIANTS -- ROLLOUTS

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 25 January 2019, at 11:06 p.m.

In Response To: Does the ace matter much? -- VARIANTS (Nack Ballard)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 118 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 95 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBDbD--a-B-----abbbcbA--:1:1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1 (Blue owns his 11pt instead of 8pt)

1.	Rollout1	23/17* 4/3	eq: +0.917
	Player: Opponent: 73.07% (G:23.85% B:0.32%) 26.93% (G:2.79% B:0.10%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.912...+0.922) - [100.0%] Duration: 14 minutes 09 seconds
2.	Rollout1	23/17* 17/16	eq: +0.884 (-0.033)
	Player: Opponent: 72.42% (G:24.29% B:0.38%) 27.58% (G:3.11% B:0.12%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.879...+0.888) - [0.0%] Duration: 14 minutes 55 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 55837470 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

In Stick's original position (not shown), 17/16 is the best ace by far. In Variant 1 above, Blue owns his 11pt instead of his 8pt, and 4/3 is the better ace.

In Variant 2 below, Blue is back to owning the 8pt (as in the original), but his 6pt is stripped and he has six checkers stacked on his 4pt. That unstacking with 4/3 is a blunder would seem to defy the natural order.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 118 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 85 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBFbB-Ba-------abbbcbA--:1:1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2 (Blue has six checkers stacked on his 4pt)

1.	Rollout1	23/17* 17/16	eq: +0.863
	Player: Opponent: 72.19% (G:24.35% B:0.36%) 27.81% (G:3.16% B:0.11%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.854...+0.871) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 45 seconds
2.	Rollout1	23/17* 4/3	eq: +0.795 (-0.067)
	Player: Opponent: 70.41% (G:24.90% B:0.36%) 29.59% (G:3.58% B:0.14%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.787...+0.803) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 30 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 55837470 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Does the ace matter much?
  Stick -- Friday, 18 January 2019, at 6:08 a.m.
  • Does the ace matter much?
    Justin Nowell -- Friday, 18 January 2019, at 7:26 a.m.
  • Does the ace matter much?
    Karol Szczerek -- Friday, 18 January 2019, at 8:14 a.m.
  • Does the ace matter much? -- VARIANTS
    Nack Ballard -- Friday, 18 January 2019, at 10:04 a.m.
    • Does the ace matter much? -- VARIANTS
      Karol Szczerek -- Friday, 18 January 2019, at 10:54 a.m.
    • Does the ace matter much? -- VARIANTS
      Joseph Pregler -- Friday, 18 January 2019, at 4:47 p.m.
    • Does the ace matter much? -- VARIANTS -- ROLLOUTS
      Nack Ballard -- Friday, 25 January 2019, at 11:06 p.m.
  • Does the ace matter much?
    Mike Clapsadle -- Friday, 18 January 2019, at 12:59 p.m.
  • Does the ace matter much?
    neilkaz -- Friday, 18 January 2019, at 5:41 p.m.
  • Does the ace matter much?
    Michael -- Tuesday, 22 January 2019, at 10:21 p.m.
  • Does the ace matter much?
    Stick -- Friday, 25 January 2019, at 5:37 a.m.
  • Does the ace matter much?
    ah_clem -- Friday, 25 January 2019, at 1:59 p.m.