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XG: What is the meaning of "Total cost" and "Should have won"?

Posted By: Maik Stiebler
Date: Thursday, 7 March 2019, at 11:03 p.m.

In Response To: XG: What is the meaning of "Total cost" and "Should have won"? (Florin Popa)

I think luck adjustment is more noisy in general, but it is unbiased, which error analysis is not. So when looking at a single match, error analysis is probably more reliable. When looking at a collection of matches, noise averages out. The more matches there are, the more attractive the unbiased luck adjustment becomes.

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