          
 
           
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 151 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 133
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--bBBBCA--A-cB-a-b-eb---B-:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Main Position |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/16 | eq: -0.019 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.28% (G:19.38% B:1.06%)
44.72% (G:14.17% B:0.98%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.025...-0.014) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 26 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 10/7 6/1 | eq: -0.059 (-0.039) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.60% (G:18.37% B:1.01%)
46.40% (G:13.72% B:0.72%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.064...-0.053) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 19 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/21 10/5 | eq: -0.076 (-0.057) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.18% (G:21.23% B:1.38%)
47.82% (G:14.53% B:0.77%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.082...-0.070) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 29 minutes |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 13/8 10/7 | eq: -0.105 (-0.086) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.01% (G:17.94% B:0.97%)
47.99% (G:13.91% B:0.88%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.113...-0.098) - [0.0%]
Duration: 45 minutes 44 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 48528842
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 48528842
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
The position above is the same as Colin's original position, except White owns her 5pt. The same play wins the rollout.
Keying off the position above and making only one change, I offer the three variants below.
Variant 1: White has her 3pt (instead of her 5pt).
Variant 2: White has her 2pt (instead of her 5pt).
Variant 3: White's 10pt checker is nudged back to her 11pt.
The best play (by rollout) is different in all four closely related positions.
Nack
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 147 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 133
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--bBBBCA--A-cB-a-b-e--b-B-:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10 |
| White owns her 3pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 10/7 6/1 | eq: +0.145 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.30% (G:19.42% B:1.08%)
39.70% (G:11.35% B:0.58%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.141...+0.148) - [93.5%]
Duration: 2 hours 13 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/8 10/7 | eq: +0.141 (-0.004) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.71% (G:20.92% B:1.13%)
40.29% (G:11.16% B:0.73%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.137...+0.144) - [6.5%]
Duration: 2 hours 17 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/16 | eq: +0.132 (-0.012) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.21% (G:20.85% B:1.16%)
39.79% (G:13.05% B:0.95%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.128...+0.136) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 28 minutes |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 24/21 10/5 | eq: +0.102 (-0.042) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.00% (G:23.08% B:1.53%)
42.00% (G:13.17% B:0.61%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.097...+0.107) - [0.0%]
Duration: 40 minutes 46 seconds |
|
| |
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 25409525
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 25409525
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 145 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 133
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--bBBBCA--A-cB-a-b-e---bB-:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10 |
| White owns her 2pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/8 10/7 | eq: +0.244 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.30% (G:21.76% B:1.17%)
36.70% (G:9.94% B:0.67%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.239...+0.249) - [100.0%]
Duration: 54 minutes 20 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/16 | eq: +0.222 (-0.021) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.74% (G:22.83% B:1.39%)
37.26% (G:12.63% B:0.96%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.218...+0.227) - [0.0%]
Duration: 59 minutes 04 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 10/7 6/1 | eq: +0.219 (-0.025) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.68% (G:20.01% B:1.06%)
37.32% (G:10.24% B:0.48%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.214...+0.224) - [0.0%]
Duration: 51 minutes 54 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 24/21 10/5 | eq: +0.210 (-0.034) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.14% (G:24.38% B:1.62%)
38.86% (G:11.82% B:0.51%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.205...+0.214) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 19 minutes |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 37710502
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 152 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 133
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--bBBBCA--A-cBa--b-eb---B-:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10 |
| White's blot is on her 11pt |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/21 10/5 | eq: +0.004 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.58% (G:21.54% B:1.21%)
45.42% (G:12.46% B:0.62%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.001...+0.010) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 22 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 10/7 6/1 | eq: -0.033 (-0.037) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.69% (G:17.74% B:0.94%)
45.31% (G:13.01% B:0.70%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.038...-0.028) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 00 minute |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/16 | eq: -0.037 (-0.041) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.43% (G:19.72% B:1.13%)
45.57% (G:14.64% B:1.03%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.043...-0.030) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 23 minutes |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 13/8 10/7 | eq: -0.099 (-0.103) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.01% (G:18.64% B:0.99%)
47.99% (G:13.66% B:0.87%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.107...-0.091) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 01 second |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 77069922
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 77069922
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10