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FOUR SCORE: French 51

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 24 October 2023, at 5:29 a.m.

In Response To: French 51 (Nack Ballard)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 103
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 117
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB-BCC-Caa-------b-bbdbB-:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
53P-32S-44A-52S-53H-52S-11E-61U-33P-31B-
63R-21L-F-64P-31-42P-55O-42P-64@-445-32r-51
(perfectly played money sequence).....Nactation tutorial (corrected URL)

You have the Blue checkers. How do you play 51, for...

.....(1) Money ?

.....(2) DMP ?

.....(3) Gammon Save ?

.....(4) Gammon Go ?

Below is a nacbrac summary of the rollouts, for "m" (money), "d" (double match point), "s" (gammon save) and "g" (gammon go).

.........m[X e55 E78 H134 P155] "<5
..........d[e E8 H13 X18 P39] "<5
..........s[P H47 e49 E63] "<5
..........g[H X14 e30 P33 E52] "<7*5

Key:..e = each (24/19 5/4), E = Each (24/19 6/5), H = Hit (8/7 6/1*), P = Point (6/1* 2/1), and the sensational X = hit and split (24/19 2/1*).
Nactation tutorial (corrected URL) ....nacbracs explanation

Each of the four main scores has a different best play. In fact, this is not only a T4 (technical four-score position). Clearing a higher bar, it is also a "R4" (real four-score position), meaning that for each of money, DMP, gammon save and gammon go, the best play clears its respective .010, .0045, .0075 and .0075 "tied" margin (compared to any play that is best at some other score).

The power rating for this R4 is [sqrt55 + sqrt13*20/9 + sqrt47*10/7 + sqrt14*10/7] = 30.57. Compare to power ratings of some other R4's (scroll to the bottom). Also not yet included in that consolidation (chronologically listed here) are R4's with rolls of 41, 43, 64, 44, 65, 21, 54, 52, 31, 65, 55 and several others hence.

Having posed this 51 position a few weeks ago, and this 63 position last week, and having provided rollout results for all scores for both positions, I have finally posted (either here or on Facebook) at least one R4 for each of the twenty-one rolls; for some rolls multiple R4s.

Detailed rollout results for French 51 appear below.

Money




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 103
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 117
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB-BCC-Caa-------b-bbdbB-:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 51

1.Rollout124/19 2/1* eq: -0.182
Player:
Opponent:
42.55% (G:15.97% B:0.88%)
57.45% (G:23.69% B:1.55%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.189...-0.176) - [100.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 45 seconds
2.Rollout124/19 5/4eq: -0.237 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent:
44.70% (G:15.79% B:1.70%)
55.30% (G:17.46% B:0.35%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.242...-0.232) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 46 seconds
3.Rollout124/19 6/5eq: -0.261 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:
43.81% (G:14.67% B:1.39%)
56.19% (G:16.95% B:0.33%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.265...-0.256) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 08 seconds
4.Rollout18/7 6/1* eq: -0.316 (-0.134)
Player:
Opponent:
42.32% (G:16.31% B:0.78%)
57.68% (G:17.85% B:1.73%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.323...-0.310) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 46 seconds
5.Rollout16/1* 2/1eq: -0.338 (-0.155)
Player:
Opponent:
41.45% (G:15.86% B:0.71%)
58.55% (G:13.93% B:0.92%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.344...-0.331) - [0.0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 15 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 20263805
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

DMP




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 103
1 point match
pip: 117
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB-BCC-Caa-------b-bbdbB-:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 51

1.Rollout124/19 5/4eq: -0.129
Player:
Opponent:
43.54% (G:13.31% B:1.59%)
56.46% (G:14.08% B:0.39%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.131...-0.127) - [100.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 44 seconds
2.Rollout124/19 6/5eq: -0.138 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:
43.12% (G:13.40% B:1.46%)
56.88% (G:14.38% B:0.48%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.140...-0.135) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 00 second
3.Rollout18/7 6/1* eq: -0.142 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
42.88% (G:13.49% B:0.48%)
57.12% (G:18.93% B:4.97%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.145...-0.140) - [0.0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 17 seconds
4.Rollout124/19 2/1* eq: -0.147 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:
42.66% (G:13.80% B:0.57%)
57.34% (G:24.82% B:2.46%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.149...-0.144) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 21 seconds
5.Rollout16/1* 2/1eq: -0.168 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:
41.60% (G:13.40% B:0.30%)
58.40% (G:14.88% B:2.69%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.170...-0.166) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 57 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52316200
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Gammon Save




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 103
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 117
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB-BCC-Caa-------b-bbdbB-:0:0:1:51:1:0:1:2:10
Blue to play 51

1.Rollout16/1* 2/1eq: -0.439
Player:
Opponent:
41.35% (G:13.83% B:0.41%)
58.65% (G:13.29% B:1.91%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.442...-0.435) - [100.0%]
Duration: 30 minutes 37 seconds
2.Rollout18/7 6/1* eq: -0.485 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
42.35% (G:13.76% B:0.47%)
57.65% (G:16.62% B:4.32%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.489...-0.482) - [0.0%]
Duration: 30 minutes 39 seconds
3.Rollout124/19 5/4eq: -0.488 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:
44.67% (G:14.95% B:2.02%)
55.33% (G:19.06% B:1.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.491...-0.485) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 56 seconds
4.Rollout124/19 6/5eq: -0.502 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:
44.10% (G:14.53% B:1.95%)
55.90% (G:19.21% B:0.82%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.505...-0.499) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 26 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 95545756
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Gammon Go




White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 103
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 117
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB-BCC-Caa-------b-bbdbB-:0:0:1:51:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 51

1.Rollout18/7 6/1* eq: +0.184
Player:
Opponent:
42.54% (G:16.68% B:1.31%)
57.46% (G:18.65% B:5.24%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.181...+0.187) - [100.0%]
Duration: 36 minutes 08 seconds
2.Rollout124/19 2/1* eq: +0.170 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
42.24% (G:16.28% B:1.38%)
57.76% (G:24.63% B:2.80%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.167...+0.173) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38 minutes 01 second
3.Rollout224/19 5/4eq: +0.154 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
44.03% (G:13.69% B:1.31%)
55.97% (G:12.51% B:0.63%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.151...+0.157) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 42 seconds
4.Rollout26/1* 2/1eq: +0.151 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:
41.25% (G:16.32% B:1.14%)
58.75% (G:14.73% B:2.87%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.148...+0.155) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 58 seconds
5.Rollout224/19 6/5eq: +0.133 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:
43.71% (G:12.93% B:1.16%)
56.29% (G:12.44% B:0.43%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.130...+0.136) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 09 seconds
1 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 67831944
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 67831944
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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