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32 Prime v Prime Jacoby Beaver RO

Posted By: Colin Owen
Date: Tuesday, 28 November 2023, at 4:35 p.m.

In Response To: 32 Prime v Prime Jacoby Beaver (Colin Owen)

Though this position was a real eye opener for me, I was reluctant to post it. With the best play proving to be SO superior, I felt it would be easy to find for the stronger players, and maybe even for most BGonliners. As a player whose PR has averaged around the 5 to 6 area (middling for the Nordic Open crowd, I think), I certainly didn't find it, and never even really considered it tbh (playing 13/11* 13/10), but I thought it might be instructive for the non-elite to appreciate just HOW wrong not double-hitting is.

The fact that so few responded to the post is interesting to me. BGonline has yet to rebuild its footfall, and I know my posts aren't clickbait, but in half a week it did get 50 viewings. Was it so clear then that few felt it worth addressing? From the two responses it did get, I have to doubt this: Tim Chow - who is very probably a stronger player than myself - didn't even discuss the double hit, and the other player - who I'm not familiar with - though they did discuss it, quickly dismissed it for (to me, anyway) seemingly valid reasons. Have some potential posters decided that they'd hit just once, checked it on XG, then felt too embarrassed to post their perspective? Whatever, I'm just glad that XG's dice generator gave me a 32 to butcher here!





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 117
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 128
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB-CBB-B--a-Ba--bbd-bb-B-:0:0:1:23:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 23

1.Rollout113/11* 4/1* eq: +0.5552
Player:
Opponent:
57.32% (G:32.20% B:1.50%)
42.68% (G:14.70% B:1.58%)
Conf.: ±0.0028 (+0.5524...+0.5580) - [100.0%]
Duration: 28 minutes 03 seconds
2.Rollout113/11* 8/5eq: +0.2567 (-0.2985)
Player:
Opponent:
52.49% (G:25.04% B:1.36%)
47.51% (G:14.50% B:1.25%)
Conf.: ±0.0028 (+0.2539...+0.2595) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 13 seconds
3.Rollout113/10 13/11* eq: +0.2470 (-0.3082)
Player:
Opponent:
52.82% (G:24.63% B:1.25%)
47.18% (G:13.80% B:1.06%)
Conf.: ±0.0028 (+0.2442...+0.2499) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 49 seconds
4.Rollout113/11* 11/8eq: +0.1782 (-0.3770)
Player:
Opponent:
51.78% (G:23.36% B:1.20%)
48.22% (G:14.64% B:1.00%)
Conf.: ±0.0028 (+0.1753...+0.1810) - [0.0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 03 seconds
5.Rollout28/6 4/1* eq: +0.0400 (-0.5152)
Player:
Opponent:
46.40% (G:24.66% B:1.02%)
53.60% (G:18.95% B:1.97%)
Conf.: ±0.0165 (+0.0235...+0.0564) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27.6 seconds
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 87222703
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 70179181
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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