BGonline.org Forums

Riddle Me This

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 13 February 2024, at 4:01 p.m.

In Response To: Riddle Me This (Stick)

What we have here is a case where rollout statistics yield additional insight. We find that after 20/13, over 70% of Blue's initial doubles are passed by White, while after 13/11 7/2, only about 40% of Blue's initial doubles are passed. So there's definitely a significant difference in the subsequent cube action if we look at the entire remaining game rather than just at the next roll.

I suspect that what's going on is that when Blue closes his board with 13/11 7/2, then he has to offer an inefficient double when he gets a shot (e.g., if White rolls an immediate 53), though I'm not sure if that's the full explanation.

Of course, the other thing is that if one does a full rollout of this position instead of relying on XGR++, then 20/13 emerges with more pseudocubeless wins, but I do think the cube is a relevant part of the story.

Messages In This Thread

• Riddle Me This
  Stick -- Tuesday, 13 February 2024, at 2:14 p.m.
  • Riddle Me This
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 13 February 2024, at 4:01 p.m.
  • Riddle Me This
    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 13 February 2024, at 5:14 p.m.