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Bot Battle #19 - Variant and Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 19 May 2024, at 12:13 a.m.

In Response To: Bot Battle #19 Rollout (Jason Lee)





White is Professional

score: 3
pip: 141
9 point match
pip: 140
score: 4

Blue is Hive Mind
XGID=---A-bEAC---bD--ad-db---A-:0:0:1:43:4:3:0:9:10
White's 9pt is blotted

1.xgRollout18/4 7/4eq: -0.476
Player:
Opponent:		41.04% (G:6.71% B:0.28%)
58.96% (G:15.70% B:0.36%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.480...-0.472) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 46 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 7/3eq: -0.488 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		41.54% (G:6.13% B:0.29%)
58.46% (G:17.50% B:0.31%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.491...-0.484) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 22 minutes
3.playedRollout27/3 6/3eq: -0.512 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:		40.32% (G:5.90% B:0.19%)
59.68% (G:15.67% B:0.32%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.521...-0.502) - [0.0%]
Duration: 39 minutes 01 second
1 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge

Above is Jason's rollout of his original position.

The variant below, where White's blot is on her 7pt instead of her 9pt, swings Blue's best play even more than I expected.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 139
9 point match
pip: 140
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---A-bEAC---bD---dadb---A-:0:0:1:43:4:3:0:9:10
White's 7pt is blotted

1.Rollout124/21 7/3eq: -0.534
Player:
Opponent:		39.79% (G:5.17% B:0.22%)
60.21% (G:17.11% B:0.28%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.544...-0.523) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 12 seconds
2.Rollout18/4 7/4eq: -0.595 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:		38.26% (G:6.44% B:0.24%)
61.74% (G:16.93% B:0.38%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.607...-0.582) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 10 seconds
3.Rollout17/3 6/3eq: -0.628 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:		37.66% (G:5.84% B:0.19%)
62.34% (G:17.27% B:0.35%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.641...-0.616) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 48 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908913
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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