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Rollout

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 9 July 2008, at 4:14 p.m.

In Response To: Novi cube problem CRB#1 (Chuck Bower)

If I had passed, my (equal player :) MWC would have been 42.6% so my take cost me 3.6% MWC. (In emg units this is a 1.28 pass.)

The score (after 0 games) is: JellyFish 1, Player2 1 (match to 5 points)

Move number 7: Player2 to play 46

Pip counts: JellyFish 113, Player2 181
Position ID: M3aDGQDgOWbAQQ Match ID: UQm6ABAACAAA

• Player2 moves bar/15

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless MWC		35.648%	(Money: -0.6435)
	0.2863 0.0506 0.0008 - 0.7137 0.2642 0.0033
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	38.940%
2.	Double, pass	67.184%	28.244%
3.	Double, take	28.630%	-10.310%
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (26.7%)

#		Ply	Move	MWC
•	1	R	bar/15	38.971%
			0.2785 0.0443 0.0022 - 0.7215 0.2600 0.0144 35.682% 38.971% 0.0074 0.0065 0.0011 - 0.0074 0.0079 0.0058 0.398% 0.482%
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			110 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 827174464 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	bar/21 20/14	38.674% ( -0.297%)
			0.3204 0.0590 0.0007 - 0.6796 0.3371 0.0060
			2-ply cubeful
	3	2	bar/21 8/2	38.612% ( -0.359%)
			0.2981 0.0596 0.0008 - 0.7019 0.3001 0.0055
			2-ply cubeful
	4	2	bar/21 11/5	37.887% ( -1.084%)
			0.3116 0.0632 0.0008 - 0.6884 0.3504 0.0076
			2-ply cubeful
	5	0	bar/21 13/7	36.708% ( -2.263%)
			0.2924 0.0571 0.0005 - 0.7076 0.3566 0.0086
			0-ply cubeful [expert]

Messages In This Thread

• Novi cube problem CRB#1
  Chuck Bower -- Monday, 7 July 2008, at 2:16 p.m.
  • Novi cube problem CRB#1
    David Rockwell -- Monday, 7 July 2008, at 9:31 p.m.
  • Novi cube problem CRB#1
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 8 July 2008, at 2:03 a.m.
    • position by committee
      Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 8 July 2008, at 5:05 p.m.
  • Novi cube problem CRB#1
    Mislav Radica -- Tuesday, 8 July 2008, at 11:55 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 9 July 2008, at 4:14 p.m.
  • What a difference...
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 9 July 2008, at 5:29 p.m.