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Rollout + reminder of general principle

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 18 June 2024, at 1:28 p.m.

In Response To: Jason Lee wanted more bearin problems (Timothy Chow)

Bob Koca gave a good explanation. I mentioned a general bearin principle in a post last month: Don't worry about a 2/36 or even a 3/36 chance of getting hit if you can achieve a better distribution. (Here, of course, the "bold" play risks only a 1/36 chance of getting hit.) Remembering this principle will help you stop and think about positions like this one OTB, instead of just playing safe automatically.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 80
Unlimited Game
pip: 76
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-BB-DDBA----a-----bbbbbc-:1:-1:1:52:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 52

1.Rollout17/5 7/2eq: +0.597
Player:
Opponent:		81.60% (G:1.41% B:0.01%)
18.40% (G:0.10% B:0.00%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.594...+0.601) - [100.0%]
Duration: 17.9 seconds
2.Rollout18/3 5/3eq: +0.538 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		79.13% (G:1.50% B:0.01%)
20.87% (G:0.47% B:0.01%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.535...+0.542) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20.3 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52672062
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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