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Requesting Stick's opinions, whether or not supported by data

Posted By: Jim Stutz
Date: Wednesday, 19 March 2025, at 3:12 a.m.

In Response To: Potential OT Posts (Stick)

What percentage of decisions (as defined by XG) are non-decisions for world-class players?

What percentage of decisions are non-decisions for the average (~7 PR) Open player?

What are the odds of Stick being ahead on the scoresheet vs. XG after 10 games? After 20? After 50?

How many gammons (%) do world-class players win from the starting position when playing full-on Gammon Go (EG: 2-away/Crawford) compared to XG Roller? (You studied DMP extensively -- What does your own, personal data show?)

How do world-class players’ average checker-play PRs compare when playing Gammon Go vs. Gammon Save?

What % of all BMAB GM’s are actually averaging under 4 PR over their last, say, 300 experience points? How about 1000 experience points?

What is the average standard deviation of a G3’s snapshot-average PR across a random sample of 300 contiguous experience points? How much smaller is the SD toward the lower-than-mean PR number vs. the higher-than-mean PR number?

Starting from zero, after how many BMAB experience points would a theoretical 4.5 PR player become a betting favorite to earn a G3 rating? How about a 5 PR player?

Will a future version of Chat GPT (or similar LLM) ever eclipse XG's current backgammon proficiency? (If so, when?)

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