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Position of the Day 07-22-25 - Are you better than XGR? - Rollout, spoiler, you aren't

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 20 October 2025, at 9:32 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 07-22-25 - Are you better than XGR? (Stick)

The only level of XG to think this is a cube is XGR. If the correct play had been made in the last PotD then it would be a cube. (see rollout below)

		White is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 85 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 67 score: 0 Blue is Player 2
XGID=-BBBBABa---B-B--a--baadbc-:2:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	66.43% (G:1.11% B:0.01%)	66.50% (G:0.71% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	33.57% (G:1.40% B:0.05%)	33.50% (G:1.40% B:0.04%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.325	+0.645
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.493	±0.002 (+0.491..+0.495)
Redouble/Take:	+0.462 (-0.031)	±0.006 (+0.456..+0.468)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.507)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 5.4%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 15.7 seconds

---

If only we played right then we'd get correctly cubed!

		White is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 85 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 67 score: 0 Blue is Player 2
XGID=-BBBABBa---BAA--a--baadbc-:2:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	65.11% (G:7.84% B:0.06%)	65.53% (G:7.50% B:0.06%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	34.89% (G:6.71% B:0.48%)	34.47% (G:6.75% B:0.50%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.309	+0.628
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.436 (-0.035)	±0.003 (+0.433..+0.439)
Redouble/Take:	+0.471	±0.008 (+0.463..+0.479)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.529)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 9.6 seconds

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 07-22-25 - Are you better than XGR?
  Stick -- Sunday, 19 October 2025, at 1:25 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 07-22-25 - Are you better than XGR?
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 19 October 2025, at 3:39 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 07-22-25 - Are you better than XGR?
    ah_clem -- Sunday, 19 October 2025, at 4:14 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 07-22-25 - Are you better than XGR?
      Bob Koca -- Sunday, 19 October 2025, at 4:49 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 07-22-25 - Are you better than XGR?
    Bob Koca -- Sunday, 19 October 2025, at 4:47 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 07-22-25 - Are you better than XGR? - Rollout, spoiler, you aren't
    Stick -- Monday, 20 October 2025, at 9:32 p.m.