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Position of the Day 01-26-26 - Recube

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 28 January 2026, at 6:17 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 01-26-26 - Recube (Stick)

O'Hagan's Doubling Rule may be all that's needed here. 6's are a market loss (11/36) but a fan followed by White rolling a deuce (25/36)*(11/36) offset most of that, leaving you below the required 25% (so far). [121/1296 is about 9.5% ML's.]

Are there other market losing sequences? Suppose Blue fans and White rolls {54,53,43,33,44}. Add (25/36)*(8/36). That's another 15.5% so even if those are market losers we've only made it to 24%. Maybe the gammon threat would be enough to make this a recube, but I'm not convinced.

NR+Take.

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