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Yes, this position did arise in actual play - Rollout

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Sunday, 8 March 2026, at 5:58 p.m.

In Response To: Yes, this position did arise in actual play (Chuck Bower)

Flip a coin on the double/no decision. This arose from my "play from position" for Stick's PoD 02-24-26. Blue just hit a last chance shot to save getting BG'ed.





White is Professional

score: 0
pip: 30
Unlimited Game
pip: 176
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--BBBB----------A-B-CA-e-:0:0:-1:D:0:0:0:0:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.67% (G:17.24% B:2.07%) 67.13% (G:16.36% B:2.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 32.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.546 +1.052
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.794±0.005 (+0.788..+0.799)
Double/Take:+0.793 (-0.001)±0.006 (+0.786..+0.799)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.206)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.4%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 75137611
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:58.6%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 9 hours 34 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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