[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Position of the Day 03-29-26 - The Follow Up

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 2 April 2026, at 6:28 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-29-26 - The Follow Up (Stick)

Good sequences for Blue: a) hit+fan = (24/36)*(25/36) = 600/1296. b) 55 followed by moderate to small roll by White = (1/36)*(32/36). So almost half of White's rolls are Market losers.

Does White even have a Take? Blue's misses are {54,53,52,44,43,32} with an average of 9 pips. On average, after awarding White 4 pips for being on roll, plus the cube ownership, that will make White a racing favorite. Call that 6 wins in 36 games. Add the hit+rehit (24/36)*(11/36) = (2/3)*(11/36) or almost 8 wins in 36 games. Noticing very few gammon wins for Blue, this looks like a big Take.

R+T.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.