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Which part is easier ?
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: Which part is easier ? (pierrez)
Date: Wednesday, 15 April 2026, at 4:39 p.m.
Blue doesn't appear to have many knockout punches. That alone leads me to taking. (Thus leave out help from Woolsey's Doubling Rule.) I see 26 good rolls for Blue, 10 not-so-good rolls, and 10 mediocre rolls. That doesn't sound like a slam dunk for O'Hagan's DR. Applying Robertie's DR I give White 62 (pick,pass,cover) and White 13. The subsequent position seems on the line between Take and Pass, so this isn't to me a clear Double according to that method. PRaTGFW gives about 2/6 -- still not sounding like a Double.
Is White's blotty homeboard the wild card which makes this a cube turn? Every single die covers at least one, so maybe it's not that much of a detriment. I don't know if Ozzie has a say, but I don't play $-games so I don't like to even consider it -- messes up my matchplay thinking. I suppose some White's will pass but there it helps knowing your opponent. Only Frigo's advice "when in doubt, err on the side of aggression" is pushing me towards Doubling.
Enough wheel spinning.
N+T.
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