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Position of the Day 05-05-26

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Saturday, 9 May 2026, at 7:43 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 05-05-26 (Stick)

Seems like the Take is a bigger question than the Redouble, considering that any fan by White or any 3 (I'll include 31), {21,22,26,44,66} = 18 covering numbers mostly lose the market. Most of the time 24 and 25 lose the market. Any roll not already included (14/36 of those) Where White fans (9/36 those) add 3.5/36 ML's.

Since a Market Loss by definition is a pass, we've already got roughly 18/36 + ~3/36 + 3.5/36 = 24.5/36 or just under 70%. Some of those (WAG = 20%) will be gammons. When the 1296 cases aren't market losers White still must win. Yes this is a rough estimate but it's looking like a pass:

R+P.

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