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BGonline.org Forums
Cube action at the score?
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: Cube action at the score? (John O'Hagan)
Date: Sunday, 10 May 2026, at 12:58 a.m.
Without gammons (for either side) I think White needs in the neighborhood of 17% cubeless wins to take this. Does she have it?
Both sides have precarious positions with Blue rolling first. I see 6 Blue rolls that leave a direct shot: {61,52,51} and 8 others that break the 5-prime or leave a direct: {41,42,32,21}.
Meanwhile Blue's best look like {66,33,62,63,44,22} = 8 rolls. That leaves 14 more/less mediocre (water treading) rolls. But then White has to perform with a brittle homeboard.
At this kind of score, where there is still considerable contact, the doubling window is usually tight. One way to treat those is for leader to double only if the position is a Pass. So is it? I would take but that doesn't make it so. I'm holding off:
N+T.
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