[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Position of the Day 06-13-26

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 18 June 2026, at 6:28 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 06-13-26 (Stick)

I count 10 rolls which give White either a direct shot or two indirects: {63,62,42,31,21} = 10/36 rolls.

Rather than list all the indirects, I'll just show the rolls that don't leave a shot this turn: {66,65*,55,52*,44,41*,33,32*,22,11} = 14/36 rolls but the * indicates Blue likely is better off giving White the direct shot while getting an outfield checker to safety.

That leaves 12/36 rolls that force an indirect. Calling that half of a direct shot, White effectively gets 16/36 direct shots. After that Blue may still have trouble avoiding the future shots. With such a porous homeboard White will happily leave one checker on Blue's 5-pt and one deeper in the board (assuming that a 2 or 3 die shows up while on the bar).

Seems like a super easy Take. Where are the market losers? Blue gets one or two off the 11-pt and White rolls a non-hitting 5, at best (for Blue) 11 White rolls. There are other scenarios but I'm not seeing enough to Double. I suppose there's the B-question but I'll leave that for the $ players.

N+T.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.