Two plays are effectively tied at the top. One was popular here, the other not mentioned. (Is it difficult to see the 23/5 candidate? I ask partly because I missed seeing it myself.) FWIW I ran XGR++ rollouts (reverting to 4-ply after six moves) and with 1296 trials and with not as small uncertainty as shown here it was even closer in the difference -- 0.0003 with joint standard deviation of 0.0029; here the j.s.d. is 0.0007.
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/19* 23/17(2) 19/13 | eq: -0.6576 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 21.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.56% (G:15.81% B:0.27%) | Conf.: ±0.0009 (-0.6585...-0.6567) - [89.4%]
Duration: 10 minutes 48 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/19* 23/5 | eq: -0.6584 (-0.0008) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 21.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.71% (G:15.43% B:0.48%) | Conf.: ±0.0009 (-0.6593...-0.6575) - [10.6%]
Duration: 8 minutes 52 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | Bar/19* 23/17 23/11 | eq: -0.6964 (-0.0388) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 21.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.32% (G:19.20% B:0.76%) | Conf.: ±0.0049 (-0.7013...-0.6915) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22.6 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | Bar/19* 23/17 19/7 | eq: -0.7286 (-0.0710) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 20.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
79.04% (G:20.79% B:1.06%) | Conf.: ±0.0051 (-0.7338...-0.7235) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22.0 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout2 | Bar/19* 23/11 19/13 | eq: -0.7320 (-0.0744) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 21.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.94% (G:20.96% B:1.06%) | Conf.: ±0.0049 (-0.7368...-0.7271) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24.0 seconds |
|
| 6. | Rollout2 | Bar/19* 19/1 | eq: -0.8572 (-0.1996) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 14.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
85.80% (G:17.67% B:0.47%) | Conf.: ±0.0044 (-0.8615...-0.8528) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22.4 seconds |
|
| |
1 41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 56176183
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 56176183
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
